If a cure does not work you have to quadruple the dose

If a cure does not work, you have to quadruple the dose. It is this logic the doctor Knock in Jules Romans which seems to hide behind the claim, and repeated at the International Conference on climate change in Nairobi, to follow the Treaty of Kyoto by a still more binding Kyoto II. A leak in front is not without referring to the definition of totalitarianism, inspired from "Man up" by Albert Camus: "mass mobilization for purposes that can never achieve."

The Kyoto Protocol based on the assumption that the undeniable, climate change is caused by the increase in the concentration of carbon dioxide (CO2) into the atmosphere. This assumption may not rely on scientific experiments but is of a purely speculative reasoning, however considered sufficient in Europe to justify the imposition of costly measures threatening our way of life radically.

In the sketch of the new report of the IPCC (Intergovernmental Group of experts on the climate change, the UN body responsible for the assessment of climate change), which is already available on the Web, estimated the cost of a cap on the concentration of CO2 at 550 ppm (parts per million) to 5 of GDP, which is considerable. But the European Union set an even more ambitious goal: limit the rate of CO2 at 450 ppm to 380 ppm currently. This would cause a depletion of the population certainly more harmful than passivity in the face of climate change. The report Stern, recently published in England, arrive at conclusions different only because it hides the possible gains of global warming (as for example the possibility to increase agricultural yields in the North) and minore estimates of the cost of the investment needed to reduce CO2 emissions by power plants, factories, heating domestic and transport.

In the current state of knowledge, the diagnosis of the IPCC is not scientific but political. It has been scientifically since the "meteorological Compendium" of the American Society of meteorology, in 1951, the principal agent of the greenhouse effect is the vapour (up to 95), which is beyond human control. CO2 plays a minor role, and yet CO2 emissions are only very partially of human origin. Y-at-he had never experience the results of which may contradict this conclusion

Cannot experiment with the atmosphere and therefore simply simulations on powerful computers, counter defenders of Kyoto. But with electronic simulations, it is possible to prove anything by manipulating the algorithms in the desired direction. In reality, it is now quite possible to clarify key issues of meteorology either by direct observations of the atmospheric circulation with photos taken by satellites or, in some cases, by laboratory experiments. A team of Danish physicists under the direction of Henrik Svensmark has also published last October, very talking a closed Chamber experiment results show that Earth's warming recorded over the past decades may also have been caused by a parallel increase of the magnetic field of the Sun (indicated by the greater presence of spots on the surface of the Sun).

This strengthening of the solar magnetic field prevents the entry of cosmic particles into the atmosphere, which normally favour the formation of low clouds preventing the Sun's rays to heat the Earth's soil. An increase in sunspot should therefore be followed, on the other hand, of a scarcity of clouds, hence warming. Svensmark team has just demonstrated in a so-called House of Wilson that the cosmic particles not deflected by the solar magnetic field cause ionization of air molecules, which greatly facilitates the formation of clouds. This is no doubt a theory that competition seriously CO2 theory.

The Danish experience is likely to be repeated soon for the European Centre for nuclear research CERN in Geneva. If this experience called "Cloud" (cloud) confirms the findings of the Danish team, the agenda for research in climatology and international policy should be deeply revised. Because it is expected that the solar cycle was given, during three decades of weather (hot in summer, but sometimes very cold in winter), soon comes to an end. Russian and American astronomers have announced a terrestrial cooling towards the middle of the century which should already be sensitive in a decade. The French climatologist Marcel Leroux has also concluded a thorough series of photos taken by satellite analysis contained in a large book on the Earth's warming, published in 2005, that the circulation is accelerating since the 1970s. Leroux, the most common descent of masses of cold air from the Poles towards the Equator should be interpreted as warning of the next ice age. Cost reductions of CO2 (a gas, it must be stressed, can not be called pollutant because it feeds the vegetation and conditions as the same life) would then become not only unnecessary but harmful. This which would conveniently remind all merchants fear that humanity is not enclosed in a greenhouse, but continues to evolve in an open world whose intelligence eludes us still widely.