Opportunity this is actually the crux of the explanation

The Spain has been punished because his Government had supported the immoral war of Bush in Iraq. "This explanation of the Madrid bombings, perfectly summarized by the sign of a Spanish protester,"Aznar we pay for your mistakes", is around advanced as evidence, an irrefutable link of cause and effect. Yet, it is very questionable.

It is surprising to see how the Al-Qaeda Nebula has "recovered" the war in Iraq and convinced the opinion that the support of George Bush Madrid logically expose him to reprisals, while terrorist network had no organic connection with Saddam Hussein's regime initially! Was also fairly criticized George Bush to have wrongfully claimed, on the basis of dubious information, that Baghdad was a rear base of bin Laden. The latter saw even likely Saddam Hussein a competitor at the head of the camp of "hate America". It was until several months after the fall of Baghdad that militants of Al-Qaeda began to associate with the minions fleeing Saddam Hussein's Baath, currently estimated between 3,000 and 5,000, to commit attacks in Iraq. And when Aznar gave, in January 2003, its support for the US intervention, Al-Qaida had then still taken step and cause for the Iraq (even if it could be doubted that he would see a good opportunity). The last video then known Osama bin Laden, broadcast in November 2002, threatened that the allies of the United States in Afghanistan.

"Opportunity", this is actually the crux of the explanation. In fine tactician, the Al-Qaida movement recognized the Spain, weakened by the enormous gap between public opinion and his Government, a target subject to doubt, where the bomb would cause maximum political damage. An action that demonstrates moult of Al-Qaeda, both in its structure and in its objectives. Until September 11, 2001, it was a centralized, organization officers, trained in Afghanistan, were almost all Saudi or Egyptian, who hit only targets us, such embassies in Tanzania and the Kenya, and which could to persuade that it was a narrow political objectives: forcing Washington to Israel and to withdraw its troops from Saudi Arabia. Ben Laden, once funded by the CIA via the secret Saudi services, to fight against the Soviets in Afghanistan would thus transferred snagging after the deployment of US troops near the Holy places in 1991 (its reversal may be dated even in 1979, when a hostage to Mecca by radical Islamists had been resolved by intervention of...) (GIGN). But this is now outdated, see information services; Al-Qaeda has become franchise federating all the networks of radical Islamists, the "mark" leader of terrorism, including agents, Pakistan, Indonesia or, what is new in Europe, Moroccan, according to Spanish investigators, hit all the allies of the United States. Including those who, as the Indonesia, are not aligned on us policy in the Middle East. From this point of view, the France, whose commandos stalk at the moment even Ben Laden in Afghanistan, and which, in a less dramatic registry, the Act on the veil "is debate", has no reason to believe particularly in the shelter. The initial objectives of Al-Qaida have been forgotten, since it is indeed passed almost unnoticed, the American soldiers were almost all left Saudi Arabia, to redeploy to neighbouring countries and that, as regards the fight against Israel of bin Laden and its own credibility, it is measured to the fact that the first concerned the Palestiniansdoes never provided a single suicide bomber... Comparable to a sect apocalyptic, as shown in its desire to acquire weapons of mass destruction, and embodying now globalization of radical islam, says the specialist of the Muslim world is Olivier Roy, Al-Qaida comes perhaps now a simple visceral hatred, almost within psychoanalysis, values of liberal societies, as illustrated in this sentence in the video claim found in Madrid : "You love the life, we want death."

In this context, consider that Madrid "well sought" what happened to him in aligning with George Bush leads to a disturbing shift in responsibilities. By a strange and masochistic Tower sleight, bin Laden would be turned into wish hidden American errors in Zorro of geostrategy, whose methods are certainly unacceptable, but analyses, at bottom, legitimate. This line of reasoning reminded the candid contraflow on September 11, when some, completely ignoring the essence of Al-Qaeda, saw it as a reaction to the unconditional support of Ariel Sharon Washington, or even a revolt of the gueux before too much abundance and Western arrogance. This had been done well laugh Saudi billionaire, poverty or a rebalancing of global trade are not part of its concerns. There, we know now, began planning the attacks of the World Trade Center before the second Intifada, when the Oslo accords suggested an agreement between Palestinians and Israelis.

Are blame, of course, the Aznar Government to have committed his country in the war against the opinion of the vast majority of his countrymen, or seek to fool the voters three days by diverting suspicion to the ETA. But he make grievance to have exposed the Spain to the revenge of Al-Qaida returned to recognize little or less that a country must determine its foreign policy on the terrorist risk. This is exactly what is the Al-Qaeda Nebula, which emulate will be paid that, if they pose a bomb Thursday, the Government lost the election the following Sunday. Terrorism prevented the Spaniards to discuss calmly their divisions and has won a round against democracy.